Do Void Grubs Really Matter?

Void grubs changed how early games feel, but they also created an easy trap for analysis:

teams that get grubs are usually already doing well.

So the right question is not just "what's the win rate with grubs?" It's:

how much signal do grubs add compared with other first objectives, especially first tower?

Method

We'll convert each match into two team-level rows and compare win rates when a team gets:

• first void grubs
• first herald
• first dragon
• first tower

Then we'll sanity-check the grubs story by looking at combinations:

• grubs + first tower
• grubs only
• tower only
• neither

If "grubs only" looks weak but "grubs + tower" looks strong, then grubs may be more of a tempo amplifier than a standalone win condition.

Verdict

If first tower consistently dwarfs first grubs, then the best interpretation is:

• grubs matter
• but they are not the main early-game conversion signal
• their value probably shows up most when they help unlock plates, tempo, and tower control

That is a much sharper conclusion than simply saying "teams with grubs win more."